Safaris
Kilimanjaro
Destinations
Experiences
Travel guide
About
Contact Call +255 764 006 061 Plan Your Safari
Great Migration · · 8 min read

The Great Migration, Month by Month

Roughly where the herds are through the year, why the timing moves, and how to plan around something nobody can schedule.

Last updated

The migration isn't a single event or a fixed route. It is a very large number of wildebeest, zebra and gazelle moving continuously in response to rainfall and grazing, in a roughly circular pattern through the Serengeti ecosystem and into Kenya.

Because it follows rain, the timing shifts from year to year. This is the usual pattern, not a schedule, and anybody offering you a guaranteed date for a river crossing is selling something they don't control.

Roughly December to March — the southern plains

The herds are on the short-grass plains of the southern Serengeti and around Ndutu. This is calving: an enormous number of calves born in a compressed window, and the densest predator activity of the year. Cheetah do particularly well on this open ground.

For anyone more interested in wildlife behaviour than in a specific photograph of a river, this is arguably the best time of the whole cycle.

Roughly April and May — moving north and west

As the long rains arrive the herds begin drifting northwest through the central Serengeti. The columns can be spectacular. This is also the wettest period, some camps close, and it's the least predictable stretch to plan around.

Roughly June and July — the Western Corridor and the Grumeti

The herds push into the Western Corridor toward Lake Victoria and encounter the Grumeti River. Crossings here are smaller and less publicised than the Mara crossings, and correspondingly less crowded.

Roughly July to October — the north and the Mara River

The famous window. Herds concentrate in the northern Serengeti and cross the Mara River, sometimes repeatedly and in both directions, depending on grazing on either bank.

Two things worth being realistic about. Crossings happen when the animals decide to cross, which can mean hours of waiting on a riverbank for nothing. And this is peak season in the north. A crossing may be watched by a great many vehicles.

Roughly November — moving back south

With the short rains the herds turn south again across the eastern plains, and the cycle restarts.

How to plan around it

Decide what you actually want. If it's a river crossing, you need the northern Serengeti in the later dry months, several days of patience, and acceptance that it may not happen. If it's sheer numbers and predator action, the calving season delivers more reliably and with fewer vehicles.

Then give yourself days. One night in the right region is a lottery ticket. Three nights is a plan. And stay in the right part of the park. The Serengeti is very large, and a camp in the centre during a northern crossing season means hours of driving before anything begins.

We will tell you where the herds have actually been recently, not where a calendar says they should be. That is the most useful thing any operator can offer on this subject.

Itineraries

Safaris we run

All safaris
The caveat

Every migration calendar is approximate

Every month given in this article, and in every other migration calendar you'll read, is a long-run average, not a schedule.

The herds move in response to rainfall. Rain moves by weeks year to year and occasionally by more, and the animals follow the grass, not the calendar. In some years the front of the herd reaches the Mara in early July. In others there's nothing north of the Grumeti until August.

The herds are also not a single body. They spread across enormous distances, split, and move in both directions. During the crossing season animals cross the Mara northward and southward repeatedly over three months, so "the crossing" isn't one event but dozens.

What this means practically: use the calendar to choose a region for your dates, not to plan a specific sighting on a specific day. Give yourself three or four nights in the region, not one. And take advice from a guide on the ground over a calendar written a year in advance.

Anyone guaranteeing you a crossing on a date is selling.

A lioness standing over a kill, with a huge herd of wildebeest blurred behind her.
Planning

How to use the calendar when booking

The calendar is a tool for choosing where to sleep, and that's the decision it should drive.

If your dates fall between December and March, base yourself on the southern plains around Ndutu. The herds are there, the calving peaks in February, and off-road driving is allowed in parts of the area because much of it sits inside the conservation area, not the national park.

If your dates fall between July and October, base yourself in the far north near the Mara River, and plan to fly instead of driving. Kogatende is around eight hours from Seronera by road.

If your dates fall in April, May, June or November, the herds are in transit and diffuse. The central Serengeti is the sensible base, and the migration becomes a bonus, not the plan.

If your dates are fixed and awkward, the central Serengeti works in every month because it holds resident game regardless.

Book early for February at Ndutu and for August and September in the north. Those are the two windows that genuinely sell out, roughly twelve months ahead.

Where the herds are, month by month

Dry Shoulder Green Long rains

January

The southern short-grass plains, around Ndutu and the Salei plains. The herds have arrived and are settling in. In most years calving begins toward the end of the month.

February

The peak of calving on the southern plains. Around four hundred thousand calves in two to three weeks, and all the predator activity that follows. This is the most reliable month of the whole cycle, because the animals stay put.

March

Still on the southern plains early in the month. Then they begin to string out north and west as the grass runs out and the rains build.

April

Crossing the central Serengeti in scattered columns. It is spread out, not spectacular, and the long rains make following the herds hard.

May

Moving west toward the Western Corridor and the Grumeti, with a lot of animals heading north through Seronera instead. The herds split, and they do not all take the same route.

June

The Western Corridor and the Grumeti River. Crossings here are smaller and far less predictable than the Mara crossings later in the year, and in some years there is no real spectacle at all.

July

Spreading north. The first zebra herds usually reach the northern Serengeti early in the month, with the wildebeest behind them. In a wet year there may be nothing north of the Grumeti until August.

August

The far north and the Mara River. One of the two busiest crossing months. The herds cross back and forth many times instead of once, so seeing a crossing is a matter of patience, not of picking a date.

September

The far north again. Many guides prefer this month for crossings: similar odds at the river, with slightly fewer vehicles watching.

October

Still in the north for most of the month. Late in October the thunder clouds build, the short rains begin, and the herds head south, sometimes very quickly.

November

Moving south and east through the central and eastern Serengeti as the rains spread. A good month for movement without the crowds.

December

Long lines heading back to the southern plains, arriving from late in the month into early January. The circle closes.

Wildebeest crossing a river in a wall of spray, with a crocodile open-jawed at the near bank.
Worth knowing

The migration, explained

It helps to know what you're looking at, because the word "migration" suggests something more organised than what happens.

Roughly a million and a half wildebeest, together with several hundred thousand zebra and gazelle, move continuously around the Serengeti–Mara ecosystem in a broad clockwise loop driven by rainfall and grass. They aren't led, they don't navigate to a destination, and there's no start or finish. At any point in the year they're somewhere in the system, which is why you can see enormous herds in most months if you're in the right region.

The zebra matter more than they get credit for. They graze the longer, coarser grass first and expose the shorter growth the wildebeest prefer, which is why the two species move together.

The calving synchrony is the most remarkable part. Around four hundred thousand calves are born within two to three weeks in February. That is far more than the predators can possibly eat, which is exactly the strategy.

The crossings, which get the attention, are incidental. The rivers are obstacles, not destinations.

Zebra and wildebeest splashing through a river in a crowded crossing.
Practical

Booking around the herds

Two windows genuinely sell out and both fill about twelve months ahead: mobile camps in the northern Serengeti for August and September, and the Ndutu camps for February.

If your dates are fixed and fall in either, book roughly a year out. If they're flexible, the shoulders, late July, early October, December and March, have better availability with much of the same wildlife.

Give the region three or four nights, not one. The crossings in particular reward patience and punish a single day.

Ask which side of the Mara River a northern camp sits on. Being north of it means you're on the side the herds are heading to and not dependent on a bridge.

Ask whether a Ndutu camp is inside the conservation area or inside the national park, because off-road driving is permitted in parts of the former and nowhere in the latter.

And plan to fly to the far north. Kogatende is around eight hours by road from Seronera, so driving costs two days of the trip.

Wildebeest wading across a river in single file.
Planning

Building a trip around the calendar

Once you know roughly where the herds should be for your dates, the itinerary follows a few simple rules.

Put your Serengeti nights in that region, not in the centre. Being two hundred kilometres from the herds in a comfortable camp is the most common way a migration trip disappoints.

Give the region three or four nights. One night is a lottery ticket. Four is good odds.

Keep a couple of nights in the central Serengeti as insurance. The centre holds resident lion, leopard and cheetah in every month regardless of where the herds are, so a trip that's only the migration has no fallback if the herds have moved.

Fly to the far north if that's where you're going. Eight hours each way by road is two days of a holiday.

And treat the published calendar as a starting point for a conversation, not a plan. A guide who has been in the park this week knows something no calendar does.

More from the journal

Keep reading

All stories

Journal

Altitude on Kilimanjaro

Altitude, not fitness, stops most people. The way acclimatisation is managed on the mountain, and why this article…

Talk to a safari expert on WhatsApp (opens in a new tab)